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10 Predictions from the year 2016 and how they panned out
In 2016 I sat down with friends and cousins and we all made predictions about what would take place by the end of 2026.
Sep 1
•
Ben Buchanan
8
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10 Predictions from the year 2016 and how they panned out
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August 2024
Agents are Coming - the next General Purpose Technologies
The biggest companies are getting bigger even after you adjust for inflation (link to source).
Aug 17
•
Ben Buchanan
12
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Agents are Coming - the next General Purpose Technologies
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4
April 2024
Predictions for the humanoid robot ("Synths" for short) market by 2035
Topic Summary:
Apr 7
•
Ben Buchanan
11
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Predictions for the humanoid robot ("Synths" for short) market by 2035
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1
February 2024
Big Tech is the best way to play AI (and the best way to beat the returns of the S&P 500 and hence the vast majority of professional…
Don't overthink it
Feb 25
•
Ben Buchanan
13
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Big Tech is the best way to play AI (and the best way to beat the returns of the S&P 500 and hence the vast majority of professional investors over the next 10 years)
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4
December 2023
Agentic AI
I ran through a calculation in detail in a different post (The Exponential Growth of Progress) that estimated time spent farming in the year 1800 verse…
Dec 4, 2023
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Ben Buchanan
7
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Agentic AI
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September 2023
The most important factors driving investment returns over the next 10 years: [Regulation & Vortexes] (and how to profit from them)
There are two.
Sep 16, 2023
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Ben Buchanan
11
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The most important factors driving investment returns over the next 10 years: [Regulation & Vortexes] (and how to profit from them)
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1
When AGI?
Peter Thiel once lamented: “We wanted flying cars and all we got was 140 characters”.
Sep 4, 2023
•
Ben Buchanan
11
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When AGI?
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June 2023
The Synths are coming.
For purposes of this post my definition of a “Synth” is a humanoid robot with at least the intellectual and emotional intelligence level of an average…
Jun 30, 2023
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Ben Buchanan
9
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The Synths are coming.
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9
February 2023
LLMs will result in Voice becoming a 4th component of the GUI. This will be a bigger improvement on UI than the switch from a Blackberry…
I’ve been Tweeting a lot lately and writing on Commonstock about how LLMs are going to turn voice into a 4th component of the “GUI”.
Feb 9, 2023
•
Ben Buchanan
12
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LLMs will result in Voice becoming a 4th component of the GUI. This will be a bigger improvement on UI than the switch from a Blackberry keyboard to a touchscreen
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4
January 2023
Generative AI and the shrinking time-gap between unrecognizable realities
The year is 2033…
Jan 30, 2023
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Ben Buchanan
12
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Generative AI and the shrinking time-gap between unrecognizable realities
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4
1 billion new people, but no more mouths to feed. Yet another ChatGPT post.
One way to think about technology is that it is a mechanism for lowering the cost of intelligence.
Jan 6, 2023
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Ben Buchanan
12
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1 billion new people, but no more mouths to feed. Yet another ChatGPT post.
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December 2022
Why hasn't Google launched a competitor to ChatGPT? How will it respond?
I’ve probably spent north of 40 hours reading and thinking about ChatGPT over the past two weeks.
Dec 17, 2022
•
Ben Buchanan
19
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Why hasn't Google launched a competitor to ChatGPT? How will it respond?
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